Republican vice presidential nominee Mike pence appeared on the couch of “Fox & Friends” Friday morning, and the conversation included the latest polls that show Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leading over GOP nominee Donald Trump.
Pence took exception to the recent polls, suggesting the pollsters were missing something as they gathered their data, according to Breitbart.
In regards to the latest Fox poll that had Clinton leading Trump 45-38 percent, Pence stated, “I honestly think that there’s something missing in the polling these days.”
When host Brian Kileade prodded for elaboration, Pence replied, “I think Donald Trump has made a connection to the frustrations and aspirations of everyday Americans like no one in my lifetime has since Ronald Reagan.”
— FOX & Friends (@foxandfriends) October 14, 2016
“When you see against this avalanche, present company excepted here at Fox News, but this avalanche of negative media coverage that goes chasing after every potential negative story about Donald Trump, still you see tens of thousands of people coming out at rallies,” he added. “There’s a determination out there across the country to change the direction of this nation.”
Pence was right about something “missing” from the polls, but it isn’t particularly easy to put a finger on what that is.
To be sure, adequate numbers of Republican and independent voters are being left out of many of these polls, as the internal polling data routinely reveal a disproportionate amount of Democrats sampled versus Republican or unaffiliated voters, which would clearly skew the results in Clinton’s favor. Although pollsters try to correct for such imbalances, it is obviously an inexact science.
it is also difficult for pollsters to effectively measure the “enthusiasm gap,” something Pence alluded to, though it is readily apparent to everyone that Trump’s supporters are much more excited about electing their candidate than Clinton supporters are. Just compare attendance at their respective rallies.
Furthermore, a significant portion of Trump’s support is believed to come from those who either never voted before or haven’t voted in several cycles. These people are rarely if ever sampled by pollsters, who prefer instead to stick with “likely voters” who they know have recently voted.
Regardless of any of this, the polls will continue to shift as we grow closer to Election Day, hopefully becoming more accurate and providing a better representation of the electorate along the way.